Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.791588 11.973907 13.245459 14.716881 16.375460 18.190279 20.330664
2025-08-31 8.855358 10.462572 12.317502 14.625934 17.434586 20.757101 25.008958
2025-09-07 7.694429 9.579775 11.888640 14.946032 18.920699 23.957023 30.891896
2025-09-14 6.658325 8.658547 11.232646 14.825480 19.769765 26.421269 36.194001
2025-09-21 5.799096 7.824393 10.543235 14.514176 20.256722 28.401255 41.083014
2025-09-28 5.180969 7.221354 10.064946 14.390171 20.932039 30.669389 46.668999
2025-10-05 4.856090 6.979247 10.045045 14.892866 22.549668 34.496364 55.196835
2025-10-12 4.565340 6.746231 9.998741 15.328445 24.090937 38.378895 64.412737
2025-10-19 4.234109 6.412292 9.755174 15.410392 25.050499 41.412591 72.636914
2025-10-26 3.901073 6.039315 9.406523 15.269696 25.599518 43.790892 80.030407
2025-11-02 3.596341 5.680771 9.041804 15.052427 25.972144 45.878920 87.182213
2025-11-09 3.317705 5.338635 8.669211 14.774736 26.189673 47.687648 94.049546
2025-11-16 3.078430 5.047403 8.365104 14.602853 26.613936 50.009605 102.541526
2025-11-23 2.881373 4.811738 8.135879 14.543635 27.248412 52.842733 112.699115
2025-11-30 2.762914 4.702372 8.118459 14.877377 28.697124 57.548579 128.024794
2025-12-07 2.591858 4.484416 7.883960 14.765127 29.220612 60.367727 139.470746
2025-12-14 2.411696 4.235116 7.569146 14.458954 29.295029 62.205027 148.858964
2025-12-21 2.272172 4.049568 7.357601 14.337292 29.746683 64.952178 161.141568
2025-12-28 2.218323 4.020571 7.443288 14.838827 31.642043 71.367450 184.701270
2026-01-04 2.159541 3.976951 7.495464 15.273094 33.439941 77.837292 209.976233
2026-01-11 2.067329 3.860642 7.391571 15.354942 34.417332 82.402732 230.770462
2026-01-18 1.960037 3.706398 7.197441 15.214932 34.838759 85.590725 248.117921
2026-01-25 1.853773 3.546726 6.979444 14.998598 35.043588 88.233297 264.388778